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Robin Milam


Phone:
Lic:
Email: robin@the-milams.com
Website:
Senior Loan Officer
Dona Knapp
Senior Loan Officer
Empire Home Loans
NMLS#: #1839243
Phone: 530-277-3662
Email: dknapp@nccn.net
Website: http://www.empirehomeloans.com
Rates At a Glance
Mortgage Rates
Currently Trending
7 Day Mortgage
Rate Forecast
This Week's
Potential Volatility

Neutral

Neutral

Average

(by Sigma Research)
Realtor Report

Using real estate as a vehicle for wealth

For many of us, our most significant investment and largest profits in life are due to having bought a house — something that acts as a de facto bank account, grows in equity and provides shelter all at once. But what if we want to use real estate as a money-making opportunity instead?

Real estate has, of course, made many millionaires. The Wall Street Journal recently reported how more than 80% of borrowers who refinanced in the third quarter chose the “cash out” option, withdrawing $14.6B in equity out of their homes, according to government-sponsored mortgage corporation Freddie Mac. Now, many are finding their homes to be a tappable source of wealth. “Home equity is the big pot of gold,” said Sam Khater, the chief economist at Freddie Mac.

It’s not hard to see why many have successfully made money buying and selling real estate because of the diverse ways to grow wealth with real estate investments. Forbes writer David Greene talks about having become a student of creating wealth through real estate and has compiled a list of some of the traits he sees as common among the most successful investors, whether they’re house flippers, residential home landlords, or large apartment complex owners.

Knowledge is, of course, key. Real estate investors always seem to know more than those around them — what drives markets, how to time market cycles, and which things to watch out for. “They are much more likely to recognize shifting markets before others do and are prepared to take advantage of these opportunities when they present themselves,” says Greene.

“The very best never stop learning, and real estate is no exception,” says Greene. Apart from websites where investors can learn, network, and find solutions to their problems, some also collect books written on how to invest in real estate, reading them over and over again. Greene recommends developing the ability to analyze a property for cash flow as well as recognizing an under-valued property when you see one. Then develop a basic understanding for estimating rehab costs along with the various pieces at play when it comes to owning rental property.

“The more you know about real estate investing, the less fear you’ll have,” he says. “Overcoming fear is one of the best things you can learn to do if you want to carve out a successful career for yourself in real estate.”

Patience is also a virtue. Greene agrees that it may sound simple, but that’s not always the case. “When it comes to real estate investing, there is a lot of pressure on you to move and move fast. The best deals go quick, and allowing projects to run past the agreed upon timeline can be expensive. Investors are constantly facing pressures to do more, do it faster, and do it cheaper.”

He goes on to say how the best investors know when they need to run fast and when they need to stop and wait to see how things develop. “Patience can take several forms when it comes to real estate investing,” he says. “Learning to recognize areas where you’ll need to practice it can save you from a lot of expensive mistakes.”

Understanding market cycles are also of vital importance. “Top investors zig when everyone else zags. They are fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful. Waiting for the market to slow down, or crash even, can require more intestinal fortitude but it is also a much better time to be picking up assets.”

To study advice Greene offers regarding how to transform a property, how to be efficient, and how to be keenly focused and how to develop important relationships, he encourages you to go to BiggerPockets.com, where you can get tips like this for free. “In a hot market, you don’t just find good deals,” he says. “You make good deals. Top notch investors see ways to add value to properties without spending more money than they have to. For those with the vision to bring it about, there can be big rewards for those who buy the ugly duckling and turn it into the beautiful swan.”

This Week's Mortgage Rate Summary

How Rates Move:

Conventional and Government (FHA and VA) lenders set their rates based on the pricing of Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) which are traded in real time, all day in the bond market.  This means rates or loan fees (mortgage pricing) moves throughout the day, being affected by a variety of economic or political events.  When MBS pricing goes up, mortgage rates or pricing generally goes down.  When they fall, mortgage pricing goes up.  Tracking these securities real-time is critical.  For more information about the rate market, contact me directly.  I’m among few mortgage professionals who have access to live trading screens during market hours.

Rates Currently Trending: Neutral

Mortgage rates are trending sideways this morning.  Last week the MBS market worsened by -18bps.  This was enough to move rates slightly higher last week. We saw low rate volatility last week.

This Week's Rate Forecast: Neutral

Three Things: The following three areas have the greatest ability to impact mortgage rates this week. 1) Geopolitical, 2) Fed and 3) Domestic.

1) Geopolitical: Lots going on here. The EU and Great Britain have agreed on the final Brexit deal over the weekend. However, British PM May must now "sell" that deal to her cabinet members and the voters which is very difficult. The EU and Italy are still at as well. The G20 summit will kick off on Friday and will get the most attention this week as we are looking for some movement in trade talks between Presidents Trump and Xi. U.S. border protection is also an issue as hundreds attempt to illegally enter the U.S. President Trump has threatened to close the entire border with Mexico which would stop shipments of goods.

2) Fed: While we get the Minutes from the last Fed meeting on Wednesday, the most critical event is Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the Economic Club of New York as the markets are looking for some clues on if the Fed will raise rates in December or if they will stand pat.

Here is the Fed schedule this week:

  • 11/27 Richard Clarida, Ralphael Bostic, Esther George, and Charles Evans
  • 11/28 Jerome Powell
  • 11/29 FOMC Minutes, Loretta Mester and Charles Evans
  • 11/30 John Williams

3) Domestic: We get the 2nd revision to the 3rd QTR GDP, but the YOY Core PCE data on Thursday (the Fed's key inflation rate) will get the most attention. Friday's PMI data is very important but will be overshadowed by the G20 meeting.

Treasury Auctions this Week:

  • 11/26 2 year note
  • 11/27 5 year note
  • 11/28 7 year note

This Week's Potential Volatility: Average

Rates have a lot to pay attention to this week. On a technical level, rates are in a tight channel. It will take unexpected comments from Powell and or new developments with China to move rates out of its current channel.

Bottom Line:

If you are looking for the risks and benefits of locking your interest rate in today or floating your loan rate, contact your mortgage professional to discuss it with them.

About Dona Knapp

Dona Knapp has over 20 years of experience, which is evidenced by her extensive knowledge of the lending industry, making her a great source of information for their clients. Her commitment to excellence has earned her a reputation of customer satisfaction and building relationships that last far beyond the original transaction. Her team was strategically designed to provide superior service, uninterrupted accessibility and extraordinary products to meet all your lending needs. Don't settle for less, when you can work with the best!

About This Report And Disclosure Information

All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.